A decision analytic framework for the costs of sugar-sweetened beverage consumption
Hupman, Andrea
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https://hdl.handle.net/2142/29602
Description
Title
A decision analytic framework for the costs of sugar-sweetened beverage consumption
Author(s)
Hupman, Andrea
Issue Date
2012-02-06T20:06:11Z
Director of Research (if dissertation) or Advisor (if thesis)
Abbas, Ali E.
Department of Study
Industrial&Enterprise Sys Eng
Discipline
Systems & Entrepreneurial Engr
Degree Granting Institution
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Degree Name
M.S.
Degree Level
Thesis
Keyword(s)
decision analysis
decision trees
medical decision making
diabetes
sugar-sweetened beverages
Abstract
This thesis provides a decision analytic framework for calculating the medical costs associated with the decision to consume sugar-sweetened beverages. The model uses (i) records of mortality data, (ii) previously identified lifetime risks of diabetes, (iii) data on relative risks associated with sugar-sweetened beverage consumption, and (iv) the reported costs of diabetes medical treatment to determine the increase in expected costs that result from the consumption decision. Additionally the model can be used to analyze any decision that increases one’s relative risk of diabetes.
The results indicate that sugar-sweetened beverage consumption is considerably more costly for younger individuals than for older individuals. Moreover, the frequency of beverage consumption also has a significant impact on expected medical costs. These results have wide ranging implications for such areas as health insurance, national health spending, and public health awareness campaigns.
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